ZENITHBLOG.com has stumbled on a series of analysis from a declassified Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) files on Nigeria before Nigeria gained independence.
In 1960, the CIA projected what might likely happen 2 years after Independence. While some happened. Some did not.
Nigeria’s founding fathers; Sir Ahmadu Bello (left) and Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe
The report projected that Nigeria may emerge as the strongest country in the West African region, but added that this would be dependent on its ability to overcome divisive tendencies which hamper the development of national unity.
The report singled out an assessment of the capabilities of the Nigerian government to maintain internal security, both over the short and long run.
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The report also envisioned a discussion of Nigeria’s international position in Africa, with special emphasis on its continental leadership potential.
ZENITHBLOG.com lists some of the projections of the intelligence agency below with emphasis on the questions posed by the CIA team.
Read below:
1. The political scene: The document stated that principal emphasis should be placed on the primary internal problem; prospects for the development of national unity in the face of Nigeria’s regional, ethnic and religious diversity…with emphasis on the political forces at work in Nigeria and their major political issues?
2. The economic scene: The document sought to describe the status of the Nigerian economy and its important elements. It also seeks to know what the prospects of economic expansion for general economic stability are. Concerned was also expressed on the weak spots of the economy and to what degree the Nigerian economy is dependent on foreign assistance.
3. The military situation: The document sought to know what the strengths, capabilities, political or tribal loyalties of the Nigerian armed forces. Concerns were expressed over the racial composition and reliability of the security forces. ”Are specific high level military figures ambitious for power?” the document probed. Efforts were also made to unravel if government’s policy will likely be in respect to the use of force generally, and specifically, in the case of tribal and regional disputes.
4. International affairs: The document sought to provide answers to what foreign policies Nigeria will likely pursue vis-a-vis to what extent Nigeria can assume a leadership role in Africa. The report also made reference to the disputed Bakassi Peninsula, a territory which was transferred to Cameroon by Nigeria on August 14, 2008.
5. Nigeria’s outlook: The sought to know the overall outlook for stability in Nigeria…with emphasis on if Nigerian political leaders will be able to develop a workable system of government which will reconcile regional differences. Questions were also asked if Nigerian political personalities were likely to be able to sort their differences and work together.
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